Language:English
Oviedo v Sporting Gijón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oviedo (Local)
Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.99%42.90%42.82%45.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.122.102.3352.08%47.17%47.62%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Gijón (Visit)
Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +0.300%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%26.65%26.73%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.503.7531.75%28.78%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%30.45%30.45%32.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.36%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 42.85%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 26.75%; Draw: 30.40%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.300%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.300%E +0.080%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.300%E +0.080%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.300%E +0.080%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.300%E +0.080%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.300%E +0.080%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -0.161%E -0.069%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -2.91%E -0.802%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.71%E -0.846%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.44%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.44%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.44%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.44%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -3.16%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -10.61%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -8.30%E -3.88%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.38%EV -6.96%E -2.28%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.31%E -3.49%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -1.45%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -10.61%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -1.45%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -10.61%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -16.01%E -8.17%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 18:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -16.39%E -5.96%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.67%EV -17.73%E -9.23%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-27 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.47%EV -1.87%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.34%EV -4.84%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.30%E -5.46%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.75%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.87%E -5.31%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -9.40%E -3.15%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.42%EV -16.44%E -8.43%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.88%EV -15.75%E -5.00%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.71%EV -13.35%E -4.68%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-09-27 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |