Language:English
Oviedo v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oviedo (Local)
Prediction 36.26%2.76fair odd
EV -0.283%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.56%36.25%36.26%37.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.7543.48%39.50%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 32.17%3.11fair odd
EV -0.587%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.48%32.10%32.25%34.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.832.803.0940.82%35.38%35.71%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%31.64%31.49%34.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.65%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 36.26%; SD Eibar (Visit): 32.17%; Draw: 31.57%. For Oviedo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.283%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -0.283%E -0.103%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.07%EV -10.24%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.37%EV -4.35%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.77%EV -1.73%E -0.640%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.37%EV -0.587%E -0.190%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -2.14%E -0.691%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.09%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -1.87%E -0.615%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -1.87%E -0.615%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -1.87%E -0.615%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -4.63%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -8.31%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -4.63%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -8.31%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.00%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -8.31%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.48%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 15:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.77%EV -6.45%E -2.50%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -5.09%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.76%EV -5.73%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.76%EV -7.51%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 16:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-12 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-12 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.26%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.26%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.26%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.26%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -8.31%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-12 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -7.34%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.53%E -4.19%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.16%E -4.56%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -9.92%E -3.54%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-12 16:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.02%EV -12.25%E -5.06%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.97%E -5.41%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.70%E -2.31%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.97%E -5.41%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.31%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-12 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -12.97%E -5.41%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -16.35%E -6.29%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -14.06%E -5.93%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -9.27%E -3.29%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -7.82%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 16:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.42%EV -16.60%E -7.22%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.19%EV -21.18%E -8.64%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.39%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-10-12 16:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-10-12 16:20 |