The School of Odds
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Oviedo v SD Eibar

2026-10-12 16:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo (Local)

Prediction 41.96%2.38fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.97%42.00%42.00%43.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.172.172.3352.36%46.18%45.98%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.02%27.92%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.243.4533.33%31.02%30.86%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.98%30.08%31.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.74%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oviedo (Local): 41.96%; SD Eibar (Visit): 27.93%; Draw: 30.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -2.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.19%EV -2.22%E -0.954%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 12:40
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.14%EV -7.88%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.14%EV -5.16%E -2.28%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.87%EV -10.07%E -3.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -2.16%E -0.663%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-05 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 12:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -8.52%E -3.91%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-05 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -8.52%E -3.91%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-05 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.78%E -4.55%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 12:41
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -11.03%E -5.20%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 12:41
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-05 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.87%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.03%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -10.28%E -3.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-05 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -12.71%E -6.11%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-05 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.97%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-05 13:24
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.97%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-05 13:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.97%E -6.82%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -14.82%E -4.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-05 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.74%EV -19.85%E -10.39%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.95%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.31%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-05 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 41.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.21%16.5%2026-10-05 13:25