Language:English
Mallorca v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mallorca (Local)
Prediction 62.13%1.61fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.87%62.17%62.23%64.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.501.501.5772.99%66.89%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 15.43%6.48fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.500%
Kelly +0.587%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.74%15.37%15.45%17.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.755.806.7020.41%17.39%17.24%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.593%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.41%22.46%22.32%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3427.78%25.06%25.00%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mallorca (Local): 62.13%; Las Palmas (Visit): 15.43%; Draw: 22.45%. For Las Palmas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -11.78%E -8.30%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV +3.35%E +0.500%K +0.587%G +0.020% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.47%E -0.808%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.35%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.46%EV +2.73%E +0.410%K +0.482%G +0.013% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.19%EV -2.58%E -0.593%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -4.95%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +0.263%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +0.263%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV +0.263%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +0.263%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.77%EV -3.08%E -1.98%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -3.59%E -0.575%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV -11.55%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.96%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -3.59%E -0.575%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -3.59%E -0.575%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.13%EV -4.36%E -0.704%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.13%EV -4.36%E -0.704%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -4.36%E -0.704%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.96%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.47%E -0.808%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.47%E -0.808%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -13.02%E -9.30%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -13.02%E -9.30%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -7.45%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -8.99%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -9.09%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -8.99%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -9.09%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -10.53%E -1.82%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.27%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -13.62%E -2.43%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.76%EV -11.78%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -5.72%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.16%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -18.25%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.21%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.75%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -18.25%E -3.44%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -19.02%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -19.02%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -19.02%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -19.02%E -3.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.45%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -19.79%E -3.81%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -19.79%E -3.81%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -19.79%E -3.81%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -19.79%E -3.81%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -13.58%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 61.40%EV -14.89%E -10.87%K -40.23%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.18%EV -19.79%E -3.81%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.43%EV -15.82%E -4.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -21.33%E -4.18%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -21.33%E -4.18%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.70%E -3.87%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.87%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -21.33%E -4.18%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.82%E -4.22%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 58.87%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.42%EV -24.42%E -4.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -19.19%E -5.33%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.69% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |