Language:English
Mallorca v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mallorca (Local)
Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.17%45.90%45.85%47.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.002.002.1054.35%49.96%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 25.74%3.89fair odd
EV +0.627%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%25.68%25.64%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.453.9132.26%28.52%28.99%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.735%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.42%28.52%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4533.33%30.94%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mallorca (Local): 45.80%; Almería (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 28.46%. For Almería (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.627%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.21%EV -4.28%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.70%EV +0.627%E +0.160%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.09%EV -5.50%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.60%E -6.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV +0.370%E +0.095%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.43%EV +0.112%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 12:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.22%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.30%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.55%EV -7.21%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -7.94%E -3.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-27 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -14.61%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.22%E -0.948%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-27 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.61%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 14:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -12.52%E -6.56%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -14.61%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-27 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.82%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.22%E -0.948%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.22%E -0.948%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -1.80%E -0.522%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -1.80%E -0.522%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -1.80%E -0.522%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -1.80%E -0.522%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.34%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -1.80%E -0.522%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -7.48%E -3.70%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-27 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.06%E -6.28%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.19%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-27 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.11%E -2.98%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.79%E -4.11%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.40%E -4.20%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -11.15%E -5.75%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -9.77%E -4.96%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -7.49%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.69%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.10%EV -15.73%E -8.55%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-27 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.06%EV -13.44%E -7.11%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -20.22%E -6.52%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 1.6% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-09-27 14:15 |