Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Málaga v SD Huesca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Málaga (Local)

Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -6.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.05%55.92%55.77%57.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.651.651.7167.57%60.69%60.61%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SD Huesca (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.13%5.51cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +0.951%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 5.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.60%18.05%18.16%19.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.025.005.8222.22%19.92%20.00%17.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.757%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.03%26.07%27.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.59%28.57%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Málaga (Local) : 55.81% ; SD Huesca (Visiteur) : 18.13% ; Match nul : 26.05%. Pour SD Huesca (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.51. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.82, soit une espérance positive de +5.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.60%EV +5.53%E +0.951%K +1.15%G +0.064%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -2.82%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.27%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +4.26%E +0.741%K +0.898%G +0.038%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.27%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +4.26%E +0.741%K +0.898%G +0.038%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.43%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -0.270%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -0.270%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.18%E -0.216%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.18%E -0.216%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 17:15
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.81%EV -3.35%E -0.629%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -5.71%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.19%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -8.43%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:00
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 17:24
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -12.06%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:08
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.47%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.14%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -17.39%E -11.75%K -36.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.42%EV -11.81%E -7.48%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.40%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.05%EV -14.60%E -9.54%K -27.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.38%EV -18.40%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.57%EV -21.84%E -7.28%K -10.92%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-03-15 16:50