La escuela de los momios

Málaga v SD Huesca

Inicio: 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Málaga (Local)

Predicción 55.81%1.79momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -6.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%55.92%55.77%57.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.651.651.7167.57%60.69%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Huesca (Visitante)

Predicción 18.13%5.51momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +0.951%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.60%18.05%18.16%19.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.025.005.8222.22%19.92%20.00%17.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.03%26.07%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.59%28.57%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.60%EV +5.53%E +0.951%K +1.15%G +0.064%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -2.82%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.27%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +4.26%E +0.741%K +0.898%G +0.038%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.27%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +4.26%E +0.741%K +0.898%G +0.038%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.43%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -0.270%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 16:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -0.270%E -0.049%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.18%E -0.216%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 17:20
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -1.18%E -0.216%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 17:15
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.81%EV -3.35%E -0.629%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 17:25
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.61%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:50
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 16:50
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -4.80%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:18
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -5.71%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.19%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -8.43%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.56%E -2.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:00
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:59
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 12:05
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -9.34%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 17:24
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 16:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.65%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 16:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 17:05
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -11.15%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 16:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -12.06%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 17:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 16:40
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:08
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.47%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.14%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 17:25
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -17.39%E -11.75%K -36.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 16:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.42%EV -11.81%E -7.48%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -18.40%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.05%EV -14.60%E -9.54%K -27.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.38%EV -18.40%E -4.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.57%EV -21.84%E -7.28%K -10.92%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-15 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-03-15 17:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-03-15 16:50