Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés v Córdoba

2026-10-16 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leganés (Local)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -7.92%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.57%41.86%41.86%44.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.082.2052.08%47.89%47.96%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 31.44%3.18fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.672%
Kelly +0.970%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%31.44%31.44%32.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.043.083.2537.04%32.94%32.52%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.70%3.74fair odd
EV -6.54%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%26.70%26.70%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.363.5031.25%29.57%29.76%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leganés (Local): 41.86%; Córdoba (Visit): 31.44%; Draw: 26.70%. For Córdoba (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.970%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.970%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.970%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.970%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +2.18%E +0.672%K +0.970%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -13.36%E -6.45%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.53%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -13.36%E -6.45%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.53%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -13.36%E -6.45%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.53%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -13.36%E -6.45%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.53%E -0.817%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -14.62%E -7.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -14.62%E -7.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -14.62%E -7.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -4.10%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.82%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.14%EV -11.27%E -5.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.35%EV -10.39%E -3.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.51%EV -10.01%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 43.51%EV -19.64%E -10.23%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -13.54%E -4.92%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -14.55%E -4.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -15.11%E -5.60%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.