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Leganés v Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leganés (Local)
Prediction 37.34%2.68fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.571%
Kelly +0.903%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.56%37.41%37.39%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.452.7246.51%40.78%40.82%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 34.37%2.91fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.08%34.46%34.22%35.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.652.8740.82%37.81%37.74%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.30%3.53fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.522%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%28.12%28.39%29.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.6033.33%30.93%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leganés (Local): 37.34%; Córdoba (Visit): 34.37%; Draw: 28.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV +1.55%E +0.571%K +0.903%G +0.014% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.60%EV -9.28%E -3.51%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -0.687%E -0.258%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV -2.18%E -0.832%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.08%EV -2.40%E -0.846%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -4.79%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.72%EV -6.29%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.01%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.98%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.08%EV -1.37%E -0.478%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.94%EV -7.18%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -15.10%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.66%E -2.66%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -15.10%E -5.03%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-16 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.78%EV -6.53%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.78%EV -6.53%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.53%E -3.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -9.27%E -3.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -9.65%E -3.99%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 26.98%EV -4.91%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 17:33 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-16 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.35%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-16 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -13.38%E -5.77%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -11.68%E -4.55%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -14.13%E -6.14%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV +1.88%E +0.522%K +0.722%G +0.014% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -14.13%E -6.14%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.13%E -6.14%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -15.81%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.51%EV -14.87%E -6.52%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.91%EV -15.81%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -15.99%E -7.11%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -2.37%E -0.686%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.25%EV -19.73%E -9.18%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.09%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.66%EV -13.69%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-10-16 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.76% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 1.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |