Language:English
Las Palmas v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -0.140%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.086%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.86%37.78%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.6447.62%41.81%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 32.53%3.07fair odd
EV -0.780%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.51%32.57%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.843.0537.74%35.12%35.21%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.53%29.63%29.65%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.053.3034.48%32.44%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 37.83%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 32.53%; Draw: 29.64%. For Las Palmas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.644. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.640, with an expected value of -0.140%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -0.140%E -0.053%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -10.48%E -3.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 16:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -1.65%E -0.636%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.17%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.17%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.17%E -1.24%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.55%EV -4.30%E -1.70%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -2.18%E -0.660%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.44%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.09%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.63%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 16:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.19%EV -5.99%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 15:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.98%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.98%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.98%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.43%EV -10.73%E -4.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.83%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 16:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -11.87%E -5.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -0.780%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -11.87%E -5.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -0.780%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -11.87%E -5.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -0.780%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -11.87%E -5.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -0.780%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -11.87%E -5.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -0.780%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.60%EV -12.24%E -5.28%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -12.17%E -4.51%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-04 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.58%EV -10.48%E -3.47%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -15.65%E -7.02%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -15.65%E -7.02%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -15.65%E -7.02%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.59%E -3.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 16:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.20%EV -20.57%E -9.79%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.70%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.11%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |