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Las Palmas v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.90%25.99%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8931.25%28.54%28.57%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.83%48.64%48.47%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.901.901.9858.14%52.76%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.620%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.70%25.46%25.54%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.503.8530.77%28.24%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 25.99%; CD Castellón (Visit): 48.50%; Draw: 25.52%. For Las Palmas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.38%EV +1.09%E +0.281%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV +0.054%E +0.014%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -4.36%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.95%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.95%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.77%E -0.459%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 18:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -4.46%E -2.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.80%E -4.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.08%EV -11.12%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -11.46%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -15.80%E -4.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-17 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -9.80%E -5.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.93%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -14.52%E -4.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-17 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -14.24%E -4.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.24%E -4.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.77%EV -16.59%E -9.64%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -15.80%E -4.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-17 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.98%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.31%EV -17.08%E -5.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-17 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 18:50 |