Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Palmas v CD Castellón

2026-10-17 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prediction 30.99%3.23fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.20%30.99%30.99%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.69%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Visit)

Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.52%42.82%42.82%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.112.102.2553.19%47.41%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.26%26.19%26.19%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.6930.77%28.99%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Palmas (Local): 30.99%; CD Castellón (Visit): 42.82%; Draw: 26.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.69, with an expected value of -3.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.92%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 19:40
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.36%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.64%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.00%EV -3.37%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:30
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:31
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:30
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.02%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 19:31
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.99%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -8.57%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -11.36%E -5.49%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.74%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -11.36%E -5.49%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.77%E -5.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.22%EV -14.77%E -5.37%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 44.21%EV -19.49%E -10.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.57%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-10 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -16.32%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -14.36%E -7.18%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-10 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.