The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Granada CF v Real Valladolid CF

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:32 UTC

Final: Granada CF 2–1 Real Valladolid CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF (Local)

Prediction 43.45%2.30fair odd
EV -0.065%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.17%43.28%43.53%45.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.122.122.3052.36%47.25%47.17%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visit)

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV +0.162%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.99%27.69%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.6033.33%30.41%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.684%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%28.73%28.78%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.173.153.4033.90%31.55%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 43.45%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 27.82%; Draw: 28.73%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.162%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV +0.162%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -4.34%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -14.40%E -7.31%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -2.62%E -0.749%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 15:07
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.03%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.74%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -2.33%E -0.684%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 07:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 07:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:17
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 14:43
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 14:43
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 15:57
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.66%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.40%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.07%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 14:43
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 14:44
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.89%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.57%EV -8.65%E -2.72%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 15:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 07:50
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 07:50
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 07:54
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 07:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 14:43
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:17
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 15:28
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.12%EV -8.32%E -3.94%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 15:07
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-23 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -11.36%E -5.57%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 07:50
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -0.065%E -0.028%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:06
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 14:43
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-23 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -0.065%E -0.028%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -12.36%E -3.92%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -12.36%E -3.92%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.79%EV -17.01%E -8.91%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -12.36%E -3.92%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-23 15:06
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.86%EV -15.27%E -7.83%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -12.36%E -3.92%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -15.25%E -5.17%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-23 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -2.24%E -0.995%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 12:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 12:13
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 12:13
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 12:13
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-23 12:13
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.53%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-10-23 15:59
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-10-23 15:07