L’École des cotes

Granada CF v Málaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Granada CF (Local)

Prévision 41.76%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.89%41.81%41.79%42.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.152.3350.00%45.88%46.51%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Málaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.291%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.30%27.29%29.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.333.303.7034.72%30.01%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.92%3.23cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.329%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.03%30.89%30.92%32.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.003.003.2037.74%33.38%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +1.08%E +0.291%K +0.398%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +1.08%E +0.291%K +0.398%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -0.563%E -0.155%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 17:19
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.62%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -0.563%E -0.155%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:19
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.69%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:23
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -11.26%E -3.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -9.09%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:14
BetAnything2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.95%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:24
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.86%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 08:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.86%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 08:39
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.69%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 08:29
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 08:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 08:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:15
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:00
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:04
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -11.47%E -5.41%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 17:08
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.67%EV -13.97%E -6.78%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.80%EV -10.40%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -10.95%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 17:24
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 17:14
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 17:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -3.53%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.88%E -4.17%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 08:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.00%EV -13.55%E -6.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -12.80%E -4.54%K -7.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-28 17:15
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.67%EV -16.48%E -8.24%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.88%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.45%EV -18.06%E -6.81%K -10.95%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -21.32%E -7.40%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -16.51%E -6.12%K -9.71%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-28 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 17:15
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-02-28 17:24
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50%2.4%2026-02-28 17:25