La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Granada CF v Málaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Granada CF (Local)
Predicción 41.76%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%41.81%41.79%42.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.152.3350.00%45.88%46.51%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Málaga (Visitante)
Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.99%27.30%27.29%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.303.7034.72%30.01%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.92%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.329%
Kelly -0.478%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.89%30.92%32.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.003.003.2037.74%33.38%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +1.08%E +0.291%K +0.398%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +1.08%E +0.291%K +0.398%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.55%EV -2.70%E -1.16%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -0.563%E -0.155%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.85%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.62%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -0.563%E -0.155%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.69%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:23 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -11.26%E -3.92%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -9.09%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -10.95%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.86%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 08:39 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.86%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 08:39 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.05%E -0.329%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.69%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 08:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.78%E -2.98%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 08:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -11.47%E -5.41%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 17:08 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.67%EV -13.97%E -6.78%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.80%EV -10.40%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.52%EV -10.95%E -3.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -2.60%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -3.53%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -4.14%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.88%E -4.17%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 08:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.00%EV -13.55%E -6.55%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -12.80%E -4.54%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.42%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.67%EV -16.48%E -8.24%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.88%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.45%EV -18.06%E -6.81%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -21.32%E -7.40%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -16.51%E -6.12%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.50% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |