Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF v Cádiz CF

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 14:16 UTC

Final: Granada CF 2–0 Cádiz CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF (Local)

Prediction 50.38%1.99fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%50.43%50.38%53.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.811.821.9160.61%55.14%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visit)

Prediction 22.93%4.36fair odd
EV -0.268%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.02%22.93%22.87%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.024.004.3527.03%24.85%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.64%26.75%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6331.25%29.40%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 50.38%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 22.93%; Draw: 26.70%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.35, with an expected value of -0.268%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 13:24
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.26%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.55%EV -1.87%E -0.438%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.66%EV -3.35%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.29%E -2.82%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:09
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.29%E -2.82%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:15
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:13
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -5.80%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 13:24
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.98%EV -6.30%E -3.39%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -5.08%E -1.23%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.12%EV -3.09%E -0.850%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 14:04
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 13:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 13:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 13:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.81%E -3.68%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 13:44
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -7.15%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 14:08
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 14:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -0.268%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -0.268%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -0.268%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 07:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -0.268%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -0.268%E -0.062%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 07:49
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 13:34
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.32%E -4.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.41%EV -8.82%E -4.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.02%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 13:24
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 14:14
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 14:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 14:08
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 13:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:15
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.12%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:49
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.12%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:50
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.12%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:49
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -10.84%E -6.12%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.37%EV -10.84%E -6.12%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.77%EV -11.10%E -3.33%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 13:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -11.34%E -6.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -15.17%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -9.23%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-18 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 07:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.18%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-18 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.24%EV -12.35%E -7.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -14.36%E -8.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -1.41%E -0.329%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.28%EV -15.87%E -9.50%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.96%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-18 07:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.13%EV -16.88%E -10.23%K -25.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.37%EV -14.57%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%18.5%2026-10-18 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-10-18 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-10-18 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-10-18 14:15
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-10-18 14:15
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%1.9%2026-10-18 14:15
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-10-18 14:00