Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF v Andorra CF

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:16 UTC

Final: Granada CF 2–3 Andorra CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF (Local)

Prediction 45.17%2.21fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.22%45.19%46.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.052.1553.19%48.86%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andorra CF (Visit)

Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.935%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.348%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.80%26.80%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.353.353.6933.90%29.84%29.85%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.823%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.97%28.01%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.5033.33%30.67%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 45.17%; Andorra CF (Visit): 26.85%; Draw: 27.98%. For Andorra CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.69, with an expected value of -0.935%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -2.89%E -1.34%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.24%EV -0.935%E -0.253%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.31%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-26 14:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 13:31
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.14%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.06%E -0.588%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 14:14
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 13:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 13:31
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.43%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.43%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 14:10
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.43%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.05%E -2.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -15.43%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -6.95%E -3.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-26 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.06%E -0.588%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.39%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -7.09%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 14:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 14:00
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.05%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 14:13
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 13:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 13:31
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 13:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-26 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.05%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.40%E -3.61%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.05%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-26 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.01%E -0.550%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 13:31
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.01%E -0.550%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 13:30
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.01%E -0.550%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -7.85%E -3.85%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -9.05%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-26 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.76%E -4.34%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.86%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 14:15
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-26 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-26 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-26 13:27
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-26 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.66%E -4.83%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -16.05%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-26 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.02%E -5.59%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.35%E -0.931%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.92%E -6.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.05%E -2.79%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-26 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.92%E -6.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-26 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.67%EV -11.92%E -6.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -20.80%E -7.05%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-26 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -12.37%E -6.38%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.09%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-26 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 44.99%EV -15.08%E -8.02%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.28%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73%EV -14.65%E -4.80%K -7.15%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-26 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-09-26 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-09-26 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-09-26 14:15
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-09-26 14:15
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%1.6%2026-09-26 14:15
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-09-26 14:15