Language:English
Girona FC v Mallorca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Girona FC (Local)
Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%39.02%38.97%40.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.342.352.5048.78%42.81%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mallorca (Visit)
Prediction 32.42%3.08fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.08%32.42%32.47%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.0037.04%35.13%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.56%28.56%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.20%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Girona FC (Local): 39.01%; Mallorca (Visit): 32.42%; Draw: 28.57%. For Girona FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.77%EV -2.48%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.30%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.72%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.78%EV -5.00%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.50%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.67%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%EV -4.35%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.35%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -7.92%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.52%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 07:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.84%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.50%EV -6.77%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.84%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.84%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 07:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 10:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.50%E -4.10%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.73%E -0.910%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 07:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.35%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.22%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 18:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.84%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -12.86%E -4.22%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -13.01%E -5.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 18:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -13.01%E -5.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 18:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -13.01%E -5.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -13.01%E -5.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -6.62%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 18:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.01%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.94%EV -20.03%E -9.77%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.08%EV -12.46%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.37% | 0.1% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 3.0% | 2026-10-04 18:30 |