Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña v Zaragoza

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña (Local)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.55%51.50%51.33%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.761.771.8861.73%56.96%56.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zaragoza (Visit)

Prediction 20.84%4.80fair odd
EV +6.28%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%20.86%20.80%22.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.544.505.1025.00%22.04%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -0.318%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%27.64%27.87%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.303.6034.72%30.04%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruña (Local): 51.47%; Zaragoza (Visit): 20.84%; Draw: 27.69%. For Zaragoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +6.28%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +6.28%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +6.28%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +6.28%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +6.28%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.096%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:04
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.83%EV +5.24%E +1.04%K +1.29%G +0.068%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:50
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV +4.20%E +0.840%K +1.05%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:04
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV +4.20%E +0.840%K +1.05%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV +4.20%E +0.840%K +1.05%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:05
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV +4.20%E +0.840%K +1.05%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -14.56%E -8.77%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV +2.12%E +0.432%K +0.542%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -15.07%E -9.14%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV +2.12%E +0.432%K +0.542%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -16.10%E -9.88%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV +2.12%E +0.432%K +0.542%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.19%EV -16.10%E -9.88%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV +2.12%E +0.432%K +0.542%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 19:04
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.36%EV -3.24%E -1.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.24%EV -0.594%E -0.125%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.05%E -0.437%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.05%E -0.437%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -2.05%E -0.437%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -2.05%E -0.437%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 19:54
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -4.14%E -0.899%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 19:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.17%EV -7.87%E -4.40%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.18%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -5.30%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -0.318%E -0.088%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 19:49
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -6.84%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:53
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -6.84%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -13.53%E -8.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -6.22%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.93%EV -8.07%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 19:33
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -7.26%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 19:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -7.26%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -13.53%E -8.05%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.01%EV -7.26%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.09%E -0.882%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 19:54
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -15.07%E -9.14%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -8.30%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-21 19:53
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.76%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 19:54
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.76%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-21 19:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -10.39%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.69%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -10.39%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.43%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:54
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.47%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.47%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -12.47%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.47%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.68%EV -16.62%E -10.26%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.93%EV -12.47%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.38%EV -18.32%E -6.21%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-21 19:49
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -14.56%E -3.55%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 19:54
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.04%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -16.64%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.03%EV -20.25%E -7.03%K -10.77%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-03-21 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-03-21 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-03-21 19:55
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-03-21 19:54
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.82%2.0%2026-03-21 19:54
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-21 19:50