Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña v Málaga

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:34 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo La Coruña (Local)

Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.30%48.32%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.912.0255.87%52.83%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Málaga (Visit)

Prediction 24.47%4.09fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%24.55%24.57%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.753.804.0330.30%26.67%26.32%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%27.15%27.10%29.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.373.403.7334.72%29.67%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruña (Local): 48.36%; Málaga (Visit): 24.47%; Draw: 27.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -15.33%E -4.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV +1.33%E +0.356%K +0.487%G +0.006%5.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -1.38%E -0.342%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.56%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.81%EV -7.99%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:28
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.34%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -6.66%E -3.45%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.34%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:29
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.47%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -9.08%E -4.83%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.14%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.14%E -3.72%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.18%EV -11.01%E -5.99%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -16.80%E -4.94%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:27
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -19.24%E -5.83%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -8.99%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:28
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.50%E -6.28%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.19%EV -13.43%E -7.50%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -12.95%E -7.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.63%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.53%E -5.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.74%EV -12.95%E -7.19%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.22%EV -21.76%E -7.56%K -11.58%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-04-04 16:30
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-04 16:30