Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 6.56
assuming max odds 4.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruña (Local): 61.72%; Leganés (Visit): 15.88%; Draw: 22.40%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.30. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.18%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.03%EV -5.57%E -3.64%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.70%EV +4.18%E +0.637%K +0.752%G +0.031% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.27%EV -3.01%E -0.695%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +3.23%E +0.497%K +0.587%G +0.019% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.39%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 14.90%EV +1.32%E +0.207%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.71%EV -1.89%E -0.431%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 16:03 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 16:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 16:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -11.74%E -8.21%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -12.36%E -8.70%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -12.36%E -8.70%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -0.742%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.27%E -6.31%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -1.54%E -0.248%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -3.01%E -0.695%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.27%E -6.31%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -1.54%E -0.248%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.34%E -2.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 16:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.57%E -3.64%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.68%E -0.856%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.57%E -3.64%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -6.19%E -4.07%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.88%E -3.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -13.59%E -9.71%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.70%EV -4.71%E -0.785%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 16:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -6.19%E -4.07%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -6.30%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.95%E -3.22%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.68%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.57%E -3.64%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.68%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.68%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.68%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.88%E -3.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -9.48%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -9.48%E -1.66%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -11.06%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.42%E -4.95%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.26%EV -9.89%E -6.77%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.47%EV -10.85%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 16:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 15:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.12%E -7.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -14.21%E -10.22%K -36.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -13.59%E -9.71%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -12.65%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-01 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -8.04%E -5.40%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.24%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.62%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.62%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.62%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.62%E -3.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.72%EV -10.51%E -7.25%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -19.01%E -3.73%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-01 16:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.88% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65% | 0.3% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.02% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.39% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |