Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cultural Leonesa v Real Racing Club de Santander

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.21%29.45%29.47%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.103.3735.71%32.74%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)

Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%43.25%43.15%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.142.152.3053.76%46.63%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.98%27.30%27.38%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.91%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cultural Leonesa (Local): 29.45%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 43.23%; Draw: 27.32%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.560%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -0.770%E -0.228%K -0.325%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -2.83%E -0.858%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -2.83%E -0.858%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.18%E -2.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -1.65%E -0.458%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -5.19%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.48%E -3.49%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:05
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 10:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -7.91%E -3.71%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:10
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -7.91%E -3.71%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:05
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:30
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 15:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 10:45
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.34%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 15:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -8.34%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 28.21%EV -11.08%E -3.67%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.81%EV -19.58%E -10.53%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 25.98%EV -10.39%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.08%EV -10.50%E -5.07%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.19%EV -10.39%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 13:40
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.21%E -4.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.88%EV -14.40%E -7.27%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.14%E -4.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -0.560%E -0.243%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.14%E -4.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -0.560%E -0.243%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.14%E -4.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -0.560%E -0.243%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.14%E -4.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -0.560%E -0.243%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.14%E -4.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -0.560%E -0.243%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.53%E -6.77%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -21.32%E -7.40%K -11.34%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-14 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -16.08%E -5.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -16.08%E -5.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.31%EV -16.08%E -5.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.84%EV -15.69%E -8.05%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-14 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -17.55%E -6.27%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -17.55%E -6.27%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-14 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 15:05
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-14 15:05
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-03-14 15:10