L’École des cotes

Cultural Leonesa v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Prévision 31.13%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.749%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%31.13%31.11%31.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.942.953.1637.04%33.97%33.90%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.23%2.62cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.871%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.18%38.23%38.31%39.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5845.45%41.69%41.67%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.64%3.26cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.35%30.64%30.59%31.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.963.003.1338.46%33.78%33.33%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:26
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -4.42%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.38%E -0.534%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 17:14
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:35
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 13:29
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:49
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 13:30
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 17:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 17:19
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 16:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.58%E -2.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:19
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.22%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:44
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.22%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:44
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 17:19
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:34
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:04
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:19
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -9.40%E -3.97%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 12:44
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 16:34
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 16:34
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.21%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 17:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.21%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 17:24
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:54
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 12:43
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.86%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 17:03
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.27%EV -14.76%E -6.62%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.99%EV -10.53%E -3.61%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.20%E -4.33%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -12.68%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 16:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-01 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.14%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.90%EV -19.42%E -7.38%K -11.91%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-01 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 12:44
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.62%EV -15.94%E -5.90%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.58%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -20.34%E -7.82%K -12.71%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89%2.8%2026-03-01 17:25