La escuela de los momios

Cultural Leonesa v Las Palmas

Inicio: 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cultural Leonesa (Local)

Predicción 31.13%3.21momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.512%
Kelly -0.749%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%31.13%31.11%31.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1637.04%33.97%33.90%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Las Palmas (Visitante)

Predicción 38.23%2.62momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.871%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.18%38.23%38.31%39.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5845.45%41.69%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%30.64%30.59%31.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.963.003.1338.46%33.78%33.33%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 14:00
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -3.49%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 13:26
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -4.42%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.38%E -0.534%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 17:14
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:35
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 13:29
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 14:49
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 13:30
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 17:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 17:19
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.11%E -2.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 16:34
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 16:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.06%E -4.20%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:24
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.58%E -2.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:19
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.22%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:44
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.22%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:44
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 17:19
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 16:34
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.16%E -2.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:04
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 17:19
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -9.40%E -3.97%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 12:44
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 16:34
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.76%E -4.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 16:34
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.21%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 17:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.21%E -5.07%K -7.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 17:24
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:54
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 12:43
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.04%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.86%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.10%EV -9.00%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 17:03
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.27%EV -14.76%E -6.62%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.99%EV -10.53%E -3.61%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.20%E -4.33%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -12.68%E -4.45%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 16:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.08%E -2.69%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 14:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.14%E -3.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-01 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.14%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.90%EV -19.42%E -7.38%K -11.91%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-01 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.61%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 12:44
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.62%EV -15.94%E -5.90%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.58%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -20.34%E -7.82%K -12.71%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-03-01 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:24
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89%2.8%2026-03-01 17:25