L’École des cotesFrançais
Cultural Leonesa v Cádiz CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Prévision 48.68%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.42%48.66%48.70%49.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.891.891.9656.50%53.00%52.91%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cádiz CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.35%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.159%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.051%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.34%24.30%25.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.79%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.97%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.809%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.01%27.01%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.55%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.159%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.99%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.91%E -0.809%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.59%E -0.649%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -5.52%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.43%E -5.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.77%E -4.22%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.31%EV -11.89%E -6.57%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -10.47%E -3.15%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -17.21%E -5.06%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -22.33%E -7.75%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.07%EV -13.84%E -7.82%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.50% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |