La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cultural Leonesa v Cádiz CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cultural Leonesa (Local)
Predicción 48.68%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.59%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -4.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.42%48.66%48.70%49.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.891.891.9656.50%53.00%52.91%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cádiz CF (Visitante)
Predicción 24.35%4.11momio equitativo
EV -0.159%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.051%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.34%24.30%25.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.79%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.809%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.01%27.01%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.55%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.29%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.159%E -0.039%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.99%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.91%E -0.809%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.56%E -2.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.59%E -0.649%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.26%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.41%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -5.52%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.53%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.43%E -5.67%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.77%E -4.22%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.31%EV -11.89%E -6.57%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -10.47%E -3.15%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.55%E -3.82%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -17.21%E -5.06%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -22.33%E -7.75%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.07%EV -13.84%E -7.82%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -11.12%E -3.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 14:06 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.50% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |