Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba v Tenerife

Kickoff: 2026-10-05 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.37%49.99%49.84%51.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.861.851.9459.17%53.86%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tenerife (Visit)

Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -0.092%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.70%23.77%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.813.804.2130.77%26.28%26.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.31%26.39%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.453.7531.75%29.00%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 49.93%; Tenerife (Visit): 23.73%; Draw: 26.34%. For Tenerife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.214. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.210, with an expected value of -0.092%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 11:04
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.14%E -1.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.40%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.37%EV -3.18%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.40%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.37%EV -3.18%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 09:35
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.40%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.37%EV -3.18%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 09:35
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.96%EV -0.092%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -3.58%E -0.979%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-05 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.70%E -0.659%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 19:35
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.59%EV -3.41%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.88%EV -2.27%E -0.611%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.53%E -0.683%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 14:10
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 15:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 11:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.27%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.64%E -3.55%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.55%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.75%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-05 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.55%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -15.75%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-05 11:05
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 14:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 02:15
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 02:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -15.75%E -4.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-05 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -7.64%E -4.13%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -22.87%E -7.04%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -17.02%E -5.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-28 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -8.14%E -4.42%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.61%EV -6.50%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 14:24
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 03:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 03:39
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-05 03:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -9.14%E -5.02%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 06:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -9.14%E -5.02%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -7.45%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-05 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.82%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-05 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-05 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.13%E -5.63%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-05 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -11.63%E -6.57%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.70%E -0.659%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-05 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -13.63%E -7.88%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -11.01%E -2.94%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-05 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 50.63%EV -15.63%E -9.25%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -13.38%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-05 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-10-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-10-05 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-10-05 14:15
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-10-05 14:16
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-10-05 14:15
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-10-05 15:01