Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba v Sporting Gijón

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.30%40.86%40.99%42.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.212.3948.08%45.12%45.35%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV +0.988%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.471%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.30%32.66%32.55%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.843.1038.46%35.03%35.21%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.48%26.46%28.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.6234.72%29.40%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 40.91%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 32.58%; Draw: 26.51%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.988%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +0.988%E +0.319%K +0.471%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +0.988%E +0.319%K +0.471%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +0.988%E +0.319%K +0.471%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +0.988%E +0.319%K +0.471%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -8.76%E -3.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV +0.988%E +0.319%K +0.471%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:24
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:24
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -11.63%E -5.38%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:24
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -13.26%E -6.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -13.26%E -6.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -14.90%E -7.16%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 22:25
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.16%EV -2.22%E -0.928%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.51%EV -4.03%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 02:05
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:44
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 21:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -7.81%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.37%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -5.08%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.69%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -5.08%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -5.08%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.00%EV -9.58%E -4.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 21:30
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -5.49%E -2.38%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:43
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:38
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -14.08%E -6.71%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -13.26%E -6.26%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.15%EV -11.07%E -4.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -11.99%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 17:44
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -5.90%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 22:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.93%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.08%E -6.71%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -14.32%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.65%E -8.21%K -12.58%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-23 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.08%E -6.71%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%4.0%2026-04-24 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%4.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%4.5%2026-04-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%4.5%2026-04-24 00:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%5.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 39.72%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%11.4%2026-04-24 00:20