The School of Odds
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Córdoba v SD Eibar

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 12:00 UTC

Final: Córdoba 2–0 SD Eibar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%50.60%50.47%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.821.831.9260.24%54.93%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.08%24.73%24.76%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.604.2330.77%27.19%27.78%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.67%24.77%26.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.603.9029.41%27.26%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 50.52%; SD Eibar (Visit): 24.74%; Draw: 24.74%. For SD Eibar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -12.09%E -6.95%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.08%EV +4.65%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -12.09%E -6.95%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.08%EV +4.65%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -12.09%E -6.95%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.08%EV +4.65%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -6.03%E -3.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.15%EV +3.16%E +0.759%K +0.998%G +0.032%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.95%EV -4.26%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.04%E -0.261%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.04%E -0.261%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.04%E -0.261%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 11:35
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.77%EV -10.07%E -5.66%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.28%E -0.577%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 11:53
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -10.07%E -5.66%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.52%E -0.902%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.41%EV -8.56%E -4.73%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.98%EV -4.01%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -6.48%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:31
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -6.03%E -3.24%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.51%EV -4.26%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.51%EV -4.26%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 11:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.59%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 11:53
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 11:45
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.17%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 11:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -12.60%E -7.28%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 11:52
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.59%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 11:52
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.53%E -2.96%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 11:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 10:54
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -3.00%E -1.56%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -3.00%E -1.56%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -3.00%E -1.56%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -3.00%E -1.56%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -3.00%E -1.56%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 11:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.99%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 10:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 11:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.61%EV -7.04%E -3.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.96%EV -9.57%E -5.35%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:05
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -6.54%E -3.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.82%EV -11.59%E -6.62%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-24 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -7.04%E -3.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -15.89%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -12.17%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -7.04%E -3.83%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -15.89%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -12.17%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -15.89%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.17%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.78%EV -16.14%E -9.72%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.79%EV -15.89%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.43%EV -14.65%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%18.6%2026-10-24 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.55%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -18.36%E -5.56%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -3.51%E -0.901%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 11:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -19.60%E -6.03%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.94%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 11:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.56%EV -11.08%E -6.30%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -19.60%E -6.03%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -15.88%E -4.67%K -6.62%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-24 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.39%0.0%2026-10-24 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.39%0.0%2026-10-24 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.39%0.0%2026-10-24 11:35
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-10-24 11:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-10-24 11:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-10-24 11:31

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