Language:English
Córdoba v Real Sociedad B
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Córdoba (Local)
Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%54.04%53.96%55.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.681.691.7865.79%59.39%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad B (Visit)
Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.604%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.36%22.22%22.28%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.6226.67%23.77%23.81%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.14%23.74%23.77%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.813.804.1031.25%26.24%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Córdoba (Local): 54.02%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 22.25%; Draw: 23.73%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.19%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV +2.79%E +0.604%K +0.770%G +0.021% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.91%EV -4.13%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.651%G +0.015% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.651%G +0.015% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.651%G +0.015% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV +2.34%E +0.509%K +0.651%G +0.015% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -11.40%E -6.95%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.70%E -5.15%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.57%EV -11.94%E -7.33%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.48%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.48%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -2.11%E -0.479%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.65%EV -2.33%E -0.530%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -8.70%E -5.15%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.56%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.55%EV -8.70%E -5.15%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 12:43 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.55%EV -8.70%E -5.15%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -5.44%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.71%E -0.661%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -5.44%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.71%E -0.661%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.79%EV -8.70%E -5.15%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -10.32%E -6.22%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.56%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.56%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.78%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.39%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.74%EV -10.32%E -6.22%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -9.89%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -12.68%E -3.44%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 12:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 12:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.45%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.58%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.88%EV -11.94%E -7.33%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.06%EV -11.45%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -13.39%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 12:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -13.02%E -8.09%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.39%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 54.82%EV -17.89%E -11.77%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -16.95%E -4.84%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.20%EV -10.32%E -6.22%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%EV -14.34%E -3.73%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.38%EV -15.19%E -9.67%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.93%EV -16.57%E -4.42%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.70%EV -24.07%E -7.52%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.89% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 12:55 |