Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba v AD Ceuta FC

2026-11-07 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 63.48%1.58fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -8.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.75%63.48%63.48%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.441.431.5176.34%69.58%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.31%6.13fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.06%16.31%16.31%16.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.565.505.8320.00%17.99%18.18%17.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.21%4.95fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%20.21%20.21%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.464.434.7924.39%22.45%22.60%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Córdoba (Local): 63.48%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 16.31%; Draw: 20.21%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.79, with an expected value of -3.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.52%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV -4.94%E -0.847%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV -3.18%E -0.663%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 18:15
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.05%E -4.09%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:30
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -7.06%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -7.06%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.06%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.06%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.06%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.06%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.75%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -12.07%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.75%EV -9.22%E -6.45%K -21.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -12.07%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.92%EV -9.86%E -6.94%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -12.07%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.37%EV -10.49%E -7.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -10.05%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 17:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.08%EV -13.67%E -10.05%K -37.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.50%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43%EV -15.10%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 63.23%EV -16.84%E -12.86%K -54.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.20%EV -17.12%E -4.18%K -5.52%G +0.000%20.7%2026-10-31 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.