默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Vigo v Andorra CF

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Vigo (主队)

预测 30.85%3.24公平赔率
EV -1.27%
优势 -0.395%
Kelly -0.575%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%30.85%30.85%32.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.932.893.2037.04%34.15%34.60%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Andorra CF (客队)

预测 40.82%2.45公平赔率
EV +0.004%
优势 +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
37.52%40.67%40.80%41.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.282.292.4546.51%43.89%43.67%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.33%3.53公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.49%28.47%28.35%29.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.233.4033.33%31.15%31.01%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Celta Vigo (主队):30.85%;Andorra CF (客队):40.82%;平局:28.33%。 对于“Andorra CF (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.4499。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.4500,对应+0.004%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 19:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -2.04%E -0.849%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 19:49
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 17:30
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 17:29
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -1.57%E -0.493%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -5.71%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 20:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.69%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 18:10
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 20:44
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 17:34
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-18 00:13
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-18 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.82%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 06:05
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 06:04
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 17:33
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.81%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -8.57%E -3.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -2.81%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -8.57%E -3.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -1.27%E -0.395%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 05:14
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 17:34
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 17:35
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.69%E -6.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-17 17:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。