The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Celta Fortuna v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 17:30 UTC

Final: Celta Fortuna 2–2 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celta Fortuna (Local)

Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -0.489%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%24.94%24.97%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.703.703.9829.85%27.06%27.03%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.77%51.67%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.771.771.8562.11%56.61%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.08%23.29%23.36%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.2028.17%25.77%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celta Fortuna (Local): 25.00%; Córdoba (Visit): 51.67%; Draw: 23.33%. For Celta Fortuna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.98, with an expected value of -0.489%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.34%EV -0.489%E -0.123%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.37%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.29%EV -2.94%E -0.706%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 17:15
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -1.24%E -0.314%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 17:10
1xBet🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -1.74%E -0.443%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -5.97%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -2.49%E -0.638%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -13.72%E -8.22%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.22%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.24%EV -8.04%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.84%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 13:54
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.49%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.49%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 16:49
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -6.49%E -3.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 17:09
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.01%E -0.477%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 16:15
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.00%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 17:09
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.00%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 17:10
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.14%E -6.47%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 17:10
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.14%E -6.47%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 17:10
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.14%E -6.47%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 17:10
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.14%E -6.47%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.17%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.01%E -0.477%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 16:55
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 16:50
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.62%E -6.14%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 17:10
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.74%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:10
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.74%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:10
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -8.74%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.50%E -3.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 16:15
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 16:40
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.00%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 17:19
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.00%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 17:19
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.52%E -4.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -16.00%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:55
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -16.00%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -16.00%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:50
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -16.00%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.62%E -6.14%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 17:15
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.62%E -6.14%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.50%E -3.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -8.04%E -4.51%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -7.84%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -9.59%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.50%E -3.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.47%EV -15.79%E -9.68%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -14.84%E -4.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 17:10
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 16:55
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.99%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -12.17%E -7.16%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.55%EV -11.14%E -6.47%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -13.67%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 24.85%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 51.70%EV -16.82%E -10.45%K -27.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.45%EV -17.17%E -4.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-31 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-10-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-10-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-10-31 17:20
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-10-31 17:15
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-10-31 17:00
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-10-31 17:20

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.