Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés v Granada CF

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: CD Mirandés 3–1 Granada CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Mirandés (Local)

Prediction 62.13%1.61fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -8.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.37%62.11%62.11%64.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.471.5472.46%68.10%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.93%15.93%15.95%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.915.906.7520.00%16.91%16.95%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.97%4.55fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.80%21.96%21.95%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.134.164.5028.57%24.19%24.07%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Mirandés (Local): 62.13%; Granada CF (Visit): 15.90%; Draw: 21.97%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +3.37%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -12.40%E -8.79%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.08%EV +1.78%E +0.278%K +0.329%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -12.40%E -8.79%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.08%EV +1.78%E +0.278%K +0.329%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.27%EV -0.130%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -6.19%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -0.607%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -0.607%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.87%EV -14.26%E -10.34%K -37.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.10%EV -0.607%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -3.79%E -0.626%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -1.14%E -0.253%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.53%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -13.02%E -9.30%K -32.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.58%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -7.76%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -14.32%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -13.02%E -9.30%K -32.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -7.76%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:19
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -11.03%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -11.03%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -14.32%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.35%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.76%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.35%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -9.35%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -9.35%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:10
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.12%EV -6.19%E -4.10%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.42%EV -10.63%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.46%EV -9.71%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -10.94%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 16:08
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -13.02%E -9.30%K -32.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -12.53%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -23.11%E -6.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.25%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -14.12%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.61%EV -12.40%E -8.79%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -15.71%E -2.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -13.22%E -3.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -16.51%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -16.51%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.42%E -4.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -18.90%E -3.70%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.12%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-05-24 16:10