Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Eldense v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:31 UTC

Final: CD Eldense 2–1 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CD Eldense (Local)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.70%41.66%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.202.202.3551.02%45.55%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%32.11%32.13%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.852.853.0538.17%35.07%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.347%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.20%26.21%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7730.77%28.75%28.57%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Eldense (Local): 41.72%; Córdoba (Visit): 32.10%; Draw: 26.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.77, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.03%EV -3.06%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 16:25
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -9.48%E -3.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -1.31%E -0.347%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -2.09%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -2.09%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.91%EV -2.09%E -0.687%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.70%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.70%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 16:29
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.30%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 16:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 16:28
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.07%EV -7.80%E -3.53%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.14%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:29
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 16:23
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.30%E -3.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 16:25
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.83%EV -9.46%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.83%EV -9.46%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.83%EV -9.46%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 15:35
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.83%EV -9.46%E -4.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 15:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.91%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.69%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 16:27
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -14.92%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.33%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 16:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.33%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 16:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.33%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.33%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -15.90%E -6.07%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -10.72%E -5.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -10.72%E -5.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -10.72%E -5.01%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.99%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -10.12%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.07%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.38%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-10 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.11%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -11.08%E -4.00%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-10 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.85%EV -18.23%E -9.30%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.70%EV -14.93%E -5.64%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -13.61%E -4.12%K -5.92%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-10 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-10-10 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-10-10 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-10-10 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-10-10 16:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-10-10 16:20