Language:English
CD Castellón v Real Racing Club de Santander
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 57.87%1.73fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.53%57.89%57.91%59.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.581.581.6669.44%63.21%63.29%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)
Prediction 19.13%5.23fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.70%19.10%19.04%20.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.764.755.4123.81%21.00%21.05%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.616%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%23.01%23.05%25.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.994.004.2630.30%25.09%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 57.87%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 19.13%; Draw: 23.00%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.10%EV -5.67%E -3.48%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.81%EV +3.49%E +0.644%K +0.790%G +0.028% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -4.08%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +1.38%E +0.261%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV +0.425%E +0.081%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +0.425%E +0.081%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.99%E -5.02%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -2.44%E -0.479%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.38%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.27%EV -3.40%E -0.673%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%EV -5.10%E -3.11%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.19%E -4.77%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 19:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 19:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.23%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.23%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.21%EV -16.67%E -11.58%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 17.84%EV -10.10%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -19.49%E -5.57%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.83%E -4.24%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.10%EV -3.94%E -2.37%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.65%EV -12.20%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.25%EV -2.01%E -0.471%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.70%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.66%EV -12.97%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -3.39%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.76%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -14.88%E -3.34%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.45%EV -12.62%E -8.36%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-28 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.53%EV -13.20%E -8.80%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.24%EV -17.17%E -3.97%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -24.09%E -7.30%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.93%EV -10.88%E -7.07%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -19.66%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 08:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.99% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 19:45 |