L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 17:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 62.51%1.60cote équitable
EV +3.15%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +4.84%
Croissance +0.152%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.17%62.21%62.60%64.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.491.6571.43%66.82%67.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.61%6.40cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.462%
Kelly +0.544%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 6.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.49%15.74%15.53%19.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.855.755.756.6020.62%17.39%17.39%15.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.87%4.57cote équitable
EV -0.698%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.21%22.05%21.88%24.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.034.004.5428.57%24.81%25.00%22.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV +3.15%E +1.91%K +4.84%G +0.152%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -24.28%E -5.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 17:00
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:00
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:00
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:00
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:01
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.59%EV -3.73%E -2.42%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -0.075%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.59%EV -12.07%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.42%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 17:00
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.35%E -2.85%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 17:00
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.28%EV -4.98%E -3.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.69%E -2.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.28%EV -4.98%E -3.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.69%E -2.91%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 17:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.59%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.698%E -0.154%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 17:00
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 17:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -2.42%E -0.387%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:59
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:00
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:59
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:59
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:58
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.44%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:59
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:00
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.88%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -9.23%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 16:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV +1.49%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:59
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.57%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 16:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 17:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -17.25%E -3.25%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -20.16%E -5.52%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -3.98%E -0.647%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:59
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -8.73%E -5.98%K -18.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.85%EV -8.73%E -5.98%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -9.44%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 17:00
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 17:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:59
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -12.57%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.42%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 16:58
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.09%EV -11.23%E -7.91%K -26.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.77%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.13%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-06 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.48%E -8.91%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.93%E -4.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.45%E -6.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%20.0%2026-04-06 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-04-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-04-06 17:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-04-06 17:00