La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v Granada CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 62.51%1.60momio equitativo
EV +3.15%
Ventaja +1.91%
Kelly +4.84%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.17%62.21%62.60%64.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.491.6571.43%66.82%67.11%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Granada CF (Visitante)
Predicción 15.61%6.40momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.462%
Kelly +0.544%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.49%15.74%15.53%19.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.855.755.756.6020.62%17.39%17.39%15.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV -0.698%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.197%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.21%22.05%21.88%24.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.034.004.5428.57%24.81%25.00%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV +3.15%E +1.91%K +4.84%G +0.152% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -24.28%E -5.01%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -1.85%E -1.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:01 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.59%EV -3.73%E -2.42%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -0.075%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.59%EV -12.07%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.73%E -2.42%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.35%E -2.85%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.28%EV -4.98%E -3.28%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.69%E -2.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.28%EV -4.98%E -3.28%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.69%E -2.91%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.59%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.698%E -0.154%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV +3.05%E +0.462%K +0.544%G +0.017% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -2.42%E -0.387%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.76%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:58 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.44%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.88%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -9.23%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV +1.49%E +0.229%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -12.57%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.03%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -17.25%E -3.25%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -20.16%E -5.52%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.41%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -3.98%E -0.647%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -4.85%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -8.73%E -5.98%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.85%EV -8.73%E -5.98%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -9.44%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.32%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -12.57%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.42%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 16:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.22%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.70%E -3.77%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.09%EV -11.23%E -7.91%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.77%EV -14.13%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.13%EV -17.98%E -4.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -12.48%E -8.91%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -21.93%E -4.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -23.45%E -6.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.05% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |