L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Cultural Leonesa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 65.49%1.53cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -3.48%
Kelly -11.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.76%65.58%65.32%67.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.391.401.4579.37%71.96%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cultural Leonesa (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.98%7.15cote équitable
EV +8.35%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.103%

avec la cote maximale 7.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.10%13.93%13.99%15.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.817.007.7517.39%14.68%14.29%12.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.53%4.87cote équitable
EV +0.605%
Avantage +0.123%
Kelly +0.155%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.56%20.49%20.69%22.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.474.504.9026.67%22.38%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.57%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +8.35%E +1.08%K +1.24%G +0.103%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -6.58%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 19:24
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.57%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +8.35%E +1.08%K +1.24%G +0.103%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -6.58%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 19:25
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.50%EV +7.51%E +0.977%K +1.12%G +0.084%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 19:04
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 19:05
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 19:04
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 19:04
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 19:13
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 19:05
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 19:05
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 19:04
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 19:05
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-23 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 19:05
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 19:04
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 66.17%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV +1.36%E +0.188%K +0.218%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 19:23
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 66.17%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV +1.36%E +0.188%K +0.218%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-23 19:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 19:24
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 19:23
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 19:25
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 19:24
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-23 19:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 19:24
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 19:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-23 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -4.93%E -0.725%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-23 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.63%E -0.834%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:20
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.63%E -0.834%K -0.979%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-23 19:19
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-23 19:25
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 19:19
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-23 19:18
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 19:24
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-23 19:14
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 66.28%EV -17.49%E -13.88%K -67.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.88%EV -17.87%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-23 19:15
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 19:05
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.62%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV +0.605%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001%9.9%2026-03-23 19:05
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -13.32%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-23 19:04
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -14.72%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-23 19:07
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -14.72%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-23 19:04
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 19:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-23 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.13%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-23 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -23.01%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-23 19:24
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.37%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 14.72%EV -16.81%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.91%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 19:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 19:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-23 19:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-03-23 19:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-03-23 19:25
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-03-23 19:24
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-03-23 19:10