La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v Cultural Leonesa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 65.49%1.53momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -3.48%
Kelly -11.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.76%65.58%65.32%67.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.391.401.4579.37%71.96%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)
Predicción 13.98%7.15momio equitativo
EV +8.35%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.103%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.10%13.93%13.99%15.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.817.007.7517.39%14.68%14.29%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.53%4.87momio equitativo
EV +0.605%
Ventaja +0.123%
Kelly +0.155%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.56%20.49%20.69%22.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.474.504.9026.67%22.38%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.57%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +8.35%E +1.08%K +1.24%G +0.103% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -6.58%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.57%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +8.35%E +1.08%K +1.24%G +0.103% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -6.58%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.50%EV +7.51%E +0.977%K +1.12%G +0.084% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 19:13 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +4.86%E +0.648%K +0.747%G +0.036% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| Bovada | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.17%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV +1.36%E +0.188%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 19:23 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.17%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV +1.36%E +0.188%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.04%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 19:23 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-23 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -2.13%E -0.305%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -4.93%E -0.725%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.63%E -0.834%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -5.63%E -0.834%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-23 19:19 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.35%E -4.44%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 19:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-23 19:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-23 19:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 66.28%EV -17.49%E -13.88%K -67.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -9.12%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.88%EV -17.87%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-23 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -11.92%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -2.47%E -0.521%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.62%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV +0.605%E +0.123%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.97%E -6.46%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -13.32%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -5.55%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.57%EV -10.94%E -8.04%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -14.72%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-23 19:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -14.72%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-23 19:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.10%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-23 19:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-23 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.13%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -3.50%E -0.745%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-23 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -11.59%E -8.59%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -16.11%E -2.69%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -23.01%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.37%EV -12.25%E -9.14%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 14.72%EV -16.81%E -2.83%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.91%EV -9.66%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-23 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-23 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-23 19:09 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-23 19:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -19.61%E -3.41%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-23 19:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.95% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 19:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 19:10 |