Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

CD Castellón v Albacete

Inizio: 2026-09-06 16:31 UTC

Finale: CD Castellón 2–0 Albacete

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

CD Castellón (Casa)

Previsione 62.39%1.60quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -5.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.86%62.35%62.34%64.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.481.481.5571.43%67.79%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Albacete (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.04%6.23quota equa
EV +6.67%
Vantaggio +1.00%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.079%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.29%16.05%16.09%17.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.205.695.606.6519.23%17.57%17.86%15.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.57%4.64quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.656%
Kelly -0.844%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.43%21.60%21.57%23.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.204.204.5025.97%23.82%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: CD Castellón (Casa): 62.39%; Albacete (Trasferta): 16.04%; Pareggio: 21.57%. Per Albacete (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.23. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.67%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.29%EV +6.67%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.03%EV +2.98%E +0.464%K +0.550%G +0.016%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.89%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -0.550%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -2.95%E -0.656%K -0.844%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -2.96%E -0.489%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.95%E -0.656%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:25
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:46
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.01%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 16:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.97%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.16%E -3.40%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 15:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:06
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:55
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:50
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 15:46
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:46
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -15.89%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.97%E -4.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.63%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.93%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.44%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -16.97%E -4.41%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 15:46
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 15:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 15:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 15:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.81%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 16:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.89%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-09-06 16:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.8%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34%1.9%2026-09-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34%1.9%2026-09-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34%1.9%2026-09-06 16:20