Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.65
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CD Castellón (Local): 62.39%; Albacete (Visitante): 16.04%; Empate: 21.57%. Para Albacete (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.23. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.67%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.29%EV +6.67%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.08%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.03%EV +2.98%E +0.464%K +0.550%G +0.016% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.89%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -11.40%E -8.03%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -0.550%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -2.95%E -0.656%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.03%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -2.96%E -0.489%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.95%E -0.656%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -9.53%E -6.57%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.76%E -0.626%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.01%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -5.36%E -0.909%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.97%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -3.29%E -2.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.16%E -3.40%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -7.77%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 16:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.35%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -8.57%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.28%E -5.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.17%E -1.82%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -4.54%E -2.97%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -15.89%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.97%E -4.41%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -11.78%E -2.14%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.63%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -13.38%E -2.48%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.93%EV -10.78%E -7.54%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.44%EV -14.99%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -16.97%E -4.41%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.66%E -5.17%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 15:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -6.41%E -4.27%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -14.81%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 16:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -12.65%E -9.04%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -15.79%E -3.01%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.89%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-06 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -10.15%E -7.05%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -16.59%E -3.19%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.42% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 16:20 |