La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cádiz CF v Zaragoza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cádiz CF (Local)
Predicción 42.45%2.36momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%42.48%42.38%44.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.142.152.2551.28%46.65%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zaragoza (Visitante)
Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV +0.934%
Ventaja +0.262%
Kelly +0.365%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%28.38%28.40%30.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.273.5634.72%30.73%30.53%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.20%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.731%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.305%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.14%29.22%30.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.123.133.4036.36%32.03%31.90%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -5.33%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV +0.934%E +0.262%K +0.365%G +0.003% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -4.24%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV +0.084%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.27%EV -1.90%E -0.565%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.767%E -0.219%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.65%EV -7.74%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 06:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.767%E -0.219%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.65%EV -7.74%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 06:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.60%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.91%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| BetAnything | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.02%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.91%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.731%E -0.215%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.44%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -12.13%E -5.86%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -12.13%E -5.86%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.27%E -2.90%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -13.53%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.80%EV -9.58%E -4.50%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -13.53%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.00%EV -10.37%E -3.38%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -12.98%E -6.33%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.53%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -13.29%E -4.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -17.22%E -8.83%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -13.53%E -4.43%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -18.25%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.18%EV -11.70%E -5.63%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.05%EV -14.38%E -4.76%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.94%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -17.78%E -6.13%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.10%E -7.55%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -18.35%E -6.37%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -19.71%E -7.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |