Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.08
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 3.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 32.14%; Leganés (Visit): 38.15%; Draw: 29.71%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV +1.10%E +0.416%K +0.669%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -15.47%E -5.88%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -16.44%E -6.32%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 15:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -16.44%E -6.32%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 15:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.42%EV -1.01%E -0.328%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.47%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -16.44%E -6.32%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -12.36%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-03 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.85%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -1.97%E -0.647%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -1.97%E -0.647%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -1.97%E -0.647%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.12%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.81%EV -7.31%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.43%EV -6.91%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -2.94%E -0.973%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.41%EV -8.05%E -3.34%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.14%EV -3.15%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.85%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -9.58%E -4.04%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -9.58%E -4.04%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 16:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.01%E -3.57%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.91%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.11%EV -12.25%E -5.33%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.02%EV -13.25%E -4.54%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-03 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.22%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -14.16%E -6.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -10.88%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.78%EV -14.83%E -5.60%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.17%EV -17.97%E -8.36%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.04%EV -13.85%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.78% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |