L’École des cotes

Cádiz CF v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV +3.30%
Avantage +0.874%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%27.11%27.68%29.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.333.303.7734.48%30.00%30.30%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.64%2.35cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.93%42.77%42.47%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.132.152.2551.55%46.86%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.96%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.341%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.27%30.12%29.85%33.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.52%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV +3.30%E +0.874%K +1.19%G +0.039%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:59
1xBet3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV +1.65%E +0.445%K +0.610%G +0.010%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -7.72%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:55
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.42%EV -16.70%E -6.01%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:49
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.42%EV -16.70%E -6.01%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:05
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.05%E -3.23%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:48
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -7.48%E -3.44%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.93%EV -14.01%E -4.88%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:40
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:38
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.11%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:38
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.06%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:09
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:59
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:29
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 21:29
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:49
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:30
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:30
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:30
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 21:30
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:40
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 21:49
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -17.28%E -8.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 07:11
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -19.10%E -7.07%K -11.24%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 22:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:55
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:54
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:34
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:19
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:29
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 21:29
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 21:29
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 08:19
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 08:19
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.61%EV -13.87%E -6.87%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 21:29
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 21:55
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -14.51%E -4.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 21:35
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 21:55
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -16.43%E -5.39%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -20.54%E -7.08%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.03%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-23 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.51%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%3.2%2026-04-23 22:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%7.3%2026-04-23 22:55
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.33%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08%9.0%2026-04-24 00:50