La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cádiz CF v Las Palmas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cádiz CF (Local)
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV +3.30%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%27.11%27.68%29.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.333.303.7734.48%30.00%30.30%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Predicción 42.64%2.35momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.77%42.47%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.132.152.2551.55%46.86%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.96%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.489%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%30.12%29.85%33.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.083.103.3037.04%32.52%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV +3.30%E +0.874%K +1.19%G +0.039% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV +1.65%E +0.445%K +0.610%G +0.010% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -4.92%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -7.72%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.42%EV -16.70%E -6.01%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -4.49%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.42%EV -16.70%E -6.01%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +1.38%E +0.372%K +0.510%G +0.007% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.05%E -3.23%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -7.48%E -3.44%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.62%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.93%EV -14.01%E -4.88%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -1.36%E -0.378%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 22:38 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.11%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 22:38 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.06%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -7.90%E -3.66%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.12%E -0.341%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.61%E -4.53%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -17.28%E -8.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -19.10%E -7.07%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.40%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 08:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.61%EV -13.87%E -6.87%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -11.74%E -5.67%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -14.51%E -4.65%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -16.43%E -5.39%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -20.54%E -7.08%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.03%EV -14.72%E -7.36%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.99%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.51% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.33% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.08% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |