The School of Odds
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Burgos CF v Sabadell FC

2026-10-18 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burgos CF (Local)

Prediction 37.71%2.65fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.32%37.71%37.71%39.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.302.5747.62%42.88%43.48%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabadell FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.09%3.22fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.07%31.09%31.09%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.983.1037.04%33.77%33.61%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.20%3.21fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.20%31.20%31.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.1036.36%33.80%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Burgos CF (Local): 37.71%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 31.09%; Draw: 31.20%. For Burgos CF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.57, with an expected value of -3.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -4.53%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 19:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.90%E -3.05%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 19:25
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.90%E -3.05%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 19:23
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -10.76%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 20:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 20:04
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 20:05
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%EV -13.27%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -16.05%E -5.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.35%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -7.96%E -2.70%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 20:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.32%EV -17.80%E -8.16%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -12.64%E -4.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-11 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.57%EV -20.82%E -9.91%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.22%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.22%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%20.3%2026-10-11 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.