Language:English
Burgos CF v Granada CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 38.04%2.63fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.84%37.99%38.07%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5547.62%41.89%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Granada CF (Visit)
Prediction 31.87%3.14fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.99%31.90%31.84%33.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1737.04%34.70%34.48%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -0.971%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.85%30.12%30.09%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.78%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 38.04%; Granada CF (Visit): 31.87%; Draw: 30.10%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.33%E -3.46%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.99%EV +1.01%E +0.319%K +0.466%G +0.005% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.57%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.11%EV -0.900%E -0.289%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.81%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.14%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -2.18%E -0.672%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -2.18%E -0.672%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -2.18%E -0.672%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -2.18%E -0.672%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -2.18%E -0.672%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -5.04%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.35%EV -4.14%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -5.68%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.87%EV -7.19%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.75%EV -6.64%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.81%EV -6.10%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 13:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 13:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.21%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -13.27%E -5.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -13.27%E -5.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -13.27%E -5.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -13.27%E -5.82%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -13.32%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-12 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -14.41%E -6.41%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -14.41%E -6.41%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.95%EV -9.09%E -3.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -14.41%E -6.41%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.49%EV -11.75%E -5.07%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.55%EV -9.82%E -3.47%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -10.31%E -3.46%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.20%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -9.47%E -3.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.32%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-12 14:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.61%E -4.52%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -13.65%E -6.01%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-12 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.72%EV -17.84%E -8.26%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -11.21%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-12 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.77%EV -20.12%E -9.58%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.30%EV -14.22%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-10-12 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-10-12 14:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-10-12 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.38% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.38% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 14:00 |