Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burgos CF v Celta Fortuna

2026-11-07 13:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burgos CF (Local)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.31%52.31%52.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.741.8364.10%57.86%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celta Fortuna (Visit)

Prediction 21.23%4.71fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.23%21.23%22.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.244.254.5025.97%23.58%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.46%26.46%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6731.25%29.24%29.41%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Burgos CF (Local): 52.31%; Celta Fortuna (Visit): 21.23%; Draw: 26.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.67, with an expected value of -2.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.38%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.49%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.12%EV -2.89%E -0.788%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.07%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:30
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -8.46%E -4.83%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.05%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.05%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.05%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:50
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.05%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.21%EV -10.03%E -5.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.21%EV -10.03%E -5.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.15%EV -10.55%E -6.17%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.36%E -3.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.58%EV -11.07%E -6.51%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.14%EV -9.51%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -12.12%E -7.21%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -16.14%E -4.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-31 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.70%EV -13.17%E -7.93%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -18.26%E -4.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -12.68%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-31 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23%EV -14.21%E -8.67%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 52.98%EV -18.40%E -11.79%K -32.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.19%EV -17.20%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.83%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%21.0%2026-10-31 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.