Language:English
Burgos CF v CD Eldense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.91%40.29%40.22%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.252.252.4850.00%44.53%44.44%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Eldense (Visit)
Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV +4.86%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.72%29.86%29.95%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.103.5035.09%31.81%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.747%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.86%29.83%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.3035.71%32.98%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 40.26%; CD Eldense (Visit): 29.96%; Draw: 29.78%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.86%E +1.39%K +1.94%G +0.095% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.86%E +1.39%K +1.94%G +0.095% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.86%E +1.39%K +1.94%G +0.095% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.86%E +1.39%K +1.94%G +0.095% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.86%E +1.39%K +1.94%G +0.095% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.82%EV +0.666%E +0.198%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV +0.367%E +0.109%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV +0.367%E +0.109%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV +0.367%E +0.109%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV +0.367%E +0.109%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -1.13%E -0.343%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -1.13%E -0.343%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.82%EV -16.26%E -7.82%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -1.13%E -0.343%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -1.72%E -0.521%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.39%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 16:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.34%EV -7.81%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -12.14%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -19.49%E -9.74%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -16.61%E -5.93%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.80%EV -4.43%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.27%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.21%E -0.987%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -0.161%E -0.065%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -11.84%E -4.00%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -0.161%E -0.065%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -11.84%E -4.00%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -0.161%E -0.065%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -11.84%E -4.00%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.23%EV -7.01%E -3.03%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.08%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.63%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -14.23%E -4.94%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -14.23%E -4.94%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -14.23%E -4.94%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -7.81%E -3.41%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -6.19%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.20%EV -10.63%E -4.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -10.06%E -3.33%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-27 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -7.67%E -2.48%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.59%EV -10.63%E -4.79%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.10%EV -13.04%E -4.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.22%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.65%EV -14.61%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.14%EV -13.63%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |