L’École des cotes

Burgos CF v Andorra CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Score final : Burgos CF 1–0 Andorra CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Prévision 59.87%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -7.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.98%59.74%60.04%61.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.531.6069.93%65.64%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Andorra CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.79%6.33cote équitable
EV +6.61%
Avantage +0.979%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.20%15.88%15.65%18.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.846.006.7520.41%17.12%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.218%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%24.38%24.31%25.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.1030.77%26.28%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +6.61%E +0.979%K +1.15%G +0.076%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.76%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.483%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:10
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 16:18
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:40
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 15:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 15:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:10
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -9.00%E -5.92%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -10.79%E -7.24%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 15:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -11.39%E -7.70%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 15:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -13.79%E -9.58%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-31 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.50%EV -12.59%E -8.62%K -27.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -8.40%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.50%EV -12.59%E -8.62%K -27.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -8.40%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:09
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.54%EV -14.39%E -10.06%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-31 15:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.41%E -3.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.41%E -3.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-31 16:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.65%EV -13.79%E -9.58%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -20.90%E -6.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -9.00%E -5.92%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.60%E -6.36%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.03%EV -13.19%E -9.10%K -29.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.44%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -22.61%E -4.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.19%EV -5.57%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%0.1%2026-05-31 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%2.6%2026-05-31 16:20