La escuela de los momios

Burgos CF v Andorra CF

Inicio: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Burgos CF 1–0 Andorra CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Predicción 59.87%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -7.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.98%59.74%60.04%61.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.531.6069.93%65.64%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Andorra CF (Visitante)

Predicción 15.79%6.33momio equitativo
EV +6.61%
Ventaja +0.979%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.076%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.20%15.88%15.65%18.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.846.006.7520.41%17.12%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV -0.218%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%24.38%24.31%25.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.804.1030.77%26.28%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +6.61%E +0.979%K +1.15%G +0.076%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.76%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV +2.66%E +0.409%K +0.483%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:10
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +1.08%E +0.169%K +0.200%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -1.29%E -0.206%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 16:18
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.58%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -3.66%E -0.600%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -0.218%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 15:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:40
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 15:40
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 15:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:10
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.48%EV -9.00%E -5.92%K -17.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -10.79%E -7.24%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 15:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 61.68%EV -11.39%E -7.70%K -23.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 15:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -13.79%E -9.58%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -5.24%E -0.873%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-31 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.50%EV -12.59%E -8.62%K -27.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -8.40%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.50%EV -12.59%E -8.62%K -27.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -8.40%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 15:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:09
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.20%E -6.80%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.54%EV -14.39%E -10.06%K -33.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -9.19%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-31 15:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.41%E -3.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.41%E -3.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-31 16:20
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.65%EV -13.79%E -9.58%K -31.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -13.13%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -20.90%E -6.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.81%EV -7.20%E -4.65%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -9.00%E -5.92%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.60%E -6.36%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-31 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.03%EV -13.19%E -9.10%K -29.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -14.71%E -2.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -17.08%E -3.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.44%EV -7.80%E -5.07%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -22.61%E -4.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.19%EV -5.57%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%0.1%2026-05-31 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%2.6%2026-05-31 16:20