Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Real Racing Club de Santander

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 14:17 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.56%43.58%44.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.122.102.2552.36%47.28%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)

Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.85%30.81%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.983.2036.36%33.83%33.56%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%25.59%25.62%27.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.553.553.8533.33%28.14%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 43.56%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 30.84%; Draw: 25.60%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -2.00%E -0.887%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -2.71%E -0.712%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 14:14
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -5.48%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.43%E -0.370%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 14:14
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -8.10%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -8.10%E -2.72%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 14:15
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:15
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -6.79%E -3.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.22%EV -7.22%E -3.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 14:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 42.91%EV -8.09%E -3.84%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -1.31%E -0.411%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.27%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.55%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 14:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.13%EV -8.97%E -4.29%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 14:14
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -9.40%E -4.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.71%EV -10.27%E -4.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 14:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:14
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -10.90%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.71%E -5.22%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -15.19%E -5.52%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-05 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.89%E -6.44%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.65%E -4.88%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 14:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 42.90%EV -16.81%E -8.80%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 29.79%EV -15.19%E -5.52%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.31%EV -23.19%E -7.73%K -11.59%G +0.000%22.1%2026-04-05 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-05 14:15
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-05 14:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-04-05 14:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%3.9%2026-04-05 14:15